Filtered historical simulation provides the general framework to our backtests of portfolios of derivative securities held by a large sample of financial institutions. We allow for stochastic volatility and exchange rates. ...

Filtered historical simulation provides the general framework to our backtests of portfolios of derivative securities held by a large sample of financial institutions. We allow for stochastic volatility and exchange rates. ...

Recent studies have strongly criticised conventional VaR models for not providing a coherent risk measure. Acerbi provides the intuition for an entire family of coherent measures of risk known as “spectral risk measures” ...

Value at risk is becoming increasingly popular as a management and regulatory tool. But before this acceptance goes much further, we need to assess its reliability under financial market conditions. Most VAR models deal ...

To ensure that central counterparties (“CCPs”) are safe in all market conditions the European Union (EU) has adopted legislation, commonly known as the European Market Infrastructure Regulation (“EMIR”) that deal with their ...

In this study an alternative approach for assessing securities' risk is applied. Various authors have argued that security returns are not homoskedastic but exhibit variation over time. They have observed that large changes ...

This paper we backtest the FHS VaR model on three types of portfolios invested over a period of two years. The first set of backtests consists of LIFFE financial futures and options contracts traded on LIFFE. In the second ...

Abstract The objective of this chapter is to examine the ARCH family of volatility models and its use in risk analysis and measurement. An overview of unconditional and conditional volatility models is provided. The former ...

In this paper we propose to model short-term interest rates by taking into consideration both the asymmetric properties of returns, using Pearson’s type IV distribution, and the time-varying volatility, using GARCH models. ...

VaR (value-at-risk) estimates are currently based on two main techniques: the variance-covariance approach or simulation. Statistical and computational problems affect the reliability of these techniques. We illustrate a ...

This paper describes and applies a nonparametric model for pricing multivariate contingent claims. Multivariate contingent claims are contracts whose payoffs depend on the future prices of more than one underlying variable. ...

In this paper we show that by assuming a constant variance/covariance matrix over the holding period, the VaR limits can often be exceeded within the relevant horizon period. To minimize this risk, we formulate the problem ...

This paper describes and analyses the use of the Filtered Historical Simulation algorithm in pricing spread options. Spread options are contracts whose payoff depends on the price difference (spread) between two or more ...

Value at Risk (VaR) is increasingly popular as a management and regulatory tool. To further its acceptance it is necessary to assess its reliability under conditions likely to be encountered in financial markets. A logical ...

Recent years have seen the development of theoretical models of the structure of interest rate models. The modeling and forecasting of interest rates is an especially prime and challenging. It is one of the most prime ...

Emerging risk-management techniques use Value at Risk (VAR) to assess the market risk of a portfolio. We propose a relative simple method to estimate VAR conditionally to reflect new information about the volatility of ...

Emerging risk-management techniques use Value at Risk (VAR) to assess the market risk of a portfolio. We propose a relative simple method to estimate VAR conditionallyto reflect new information about the volatility of ...

The Value-at-Risk (VaR) criterion as a measure of portfolio's risk on long run horizons is considered. The method which makes possible to generate VaR estimates on longer horizons is suggested. The VaR estimation is based ...

We propose filtering historical simulation by GARCH processes to model the future distribution of assets and swap values. Options’ price changes are computed by full reevaluation on the changing prices of underlying assets. ...

This paper investigates the volatility spillovers of four major equity markets using a new approach namely, the Filtered Historical Simulation approach (FHS). The FHS captures very effectively the changes ...