A crucial question to anyone engaged in analysing the inflationary process in a country, is how much has the Government contributed to the generation and maintenance of the high demand pressures. The creation of demand ...

Aggregating information by combining forecasts from two or more forecasting methods is an alternative to using just a single method. In this paper we provide extensive empirical results showing that combined forecasts ...

In 1982, the Journal of Forecasting published the results of a forecasting competition organized by Spyros Makridakis (Makridakis et al., 1982). In this, the ex ante forecast errors of 21 methods were compared for forecasts ...

An altemative to using a single forecasting method is to average the forecasts obtained from several methods. In this paper we investigate empirically the impact of the number and choice of forecasting methods on the ...

The crucial questions which center monetary analysis are : What determines the money supply? Can the Central Bank act to influence that supply? If yes, how? These questions have generated a good deal of controversy in the ...

Σ' οποιονδήποτε ζει ή ταξιδεύει στην Ελλάδα δίνεται σuχνά η ευκαιρία να διαπιστώσει με τα ίδια του τα μάτια τις διαφορές στο επίπεδο ζωής μεταξύ αστικών και αγροτικών περιοχών αφ' ενός και μεταξύ τη ς Αθήνας και όλης της ...

In the Debt Dilemma of Developing Nations, Chris Carvounis provides an insightful overview of the external debt problems currentrly plaguing a number of developing countries. The book is neiher comprehensive in tits handling ...

After several decades of important theoretical developments, practical experience gained through applications, and the findings of many empirical studies the field of forecasting is entering into a stage of maturity. The ...

The priests of Delfphi have not been alone in providing forecasts for a price. Since the dawn of civilization, a great many fortune tellers, soothsayers, wizards, augurs and astrologers have sought to fulfil the human need ...

This book is designed to be used in conjunction with a set of interactive statistical programs, called ISP, which has been developed to improve and facilitate the teaching and learning of basic statistics.

ΆΦορμή γιά τή συστηματική ένασχόλησή μας μέ τό θέμα αυτό υπηρξε ή μεγάλη διεκκλησιαστική του σπουδαιότητα γιά τόν έπικείμενο θεολογικό διάλογο της 'Ορθόδοξης Έκκλησίας μέ τίς άντιχαλκηδόνιες Έκκλησίες της Άνατολής.

Forecasting methods currently available assume that established patterns or relationships will not change during the post-sample forecasting phase. This, however, is not a realistic assumption for business and economic ...

This paper empirically evaluates the uncertainty of forecasts. It does so using the 1001 series of the M-Competition. The study indicates that although, in model fitting the percentage of observations outside the confidence ...

Les lois de développement qui ont été périodiquement mises en oeu v re en Grèce n'ont pas toujours comporté d'incitations fin a ncières. Cette absence pouvait s'expliquer de plusieurs manl eres, soi t que l'on ait préféré ...

Dans le but de consolider la paix sociale et de protéger l'intérêt général,l'Etat planifie et coordonne les activités économiques du pays, en recherchant d'assurer le développement économique -de tous les secteurs de ...

Available approaches to statistical forecasting suffer from several deficiencies (problems) that render their predictions for real-world economic/business series inappropriate. In this paper I illustrate such deficiencies, ...

Forecasting has a long history. An understanding of such history coupled with the study of the empirical evidence can provide invaluable information for improving the accuracy and usefulness of predictions. Statistical ...

This paper considers two problems of interpreting forecasting competition error statistics. The first problem is concerned with the importance of linking the error measure (loss function) used in evaluating a forecasting ...

This paper discusses our aims in organizing this special issue. We believe that a synthesis of the field is needed to resolve the many conflicts between theory and empirical evidence and between advocates of the various ...

Leadership is a topic of almost universal fascination. Popular attention focuses on it because its overtones of success, power, and prestige are traditionally admired and pursued human goals; academic interest in it is ...