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Forecasting accuracy and system complexity
(Fontainebleau, France, 1995)
Accurate forecasts are essential for a great number of applications yet large errors and considerable uncertainty characterize most of our attempts for predicting the future. This article surveys empirical studies on ...
The M2-competition: A real-time judgmentally based forecasting study
(Elsevier, 1993)
The purpose of the M2-Competition is to determine the post sample accuracy of various forecasting methods. It is an empirical study organized in such a way as to avoid the major criticism of the M-Competition that forecasters ...