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Now showing items 21-28 of 28
The Combination of Forecasts
(Wiley, 1983)
Aggregating information by combining forecasts from two or more forecasting methods is an alternative to using just a single method. In this paper we provide extensive empirical results showing that combined forecasts ...
Basic statistics : a user oriented approach (manuscript)
(1981)
Table 2.1 shows the ages of the 230 students who entered INSEAD during the 1980/81 academic year. What can you make out of these numbers? Obνiously, the answer will depend upon who you are. Unless you haνe some objectiνe ...
Beyond the oracle
(PA International Consulting Services Ltd., 1986)
The priests of Delfphi have not been alone in providing forecasts for a price. Since the dawn of civilization, a great many fortune tellers, soothsayers, wizards, augurs and astrologers have sought to fulfil the human need ...
Isp: Interactive Statistical Programs
(West Publishing Company, 1986)
This book is designed to be used in conjunction with a set of interactive statistical programs, called ISP, which has been developed to improve and facilitate the teaching and learning of basic statistics.
A New Approach to Statistical Forecasting
(Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 1987-06)
Available approaches to statistical forecasting suffer from several deficiencies (problems) that render their predictions for real-world economic/business series inappropriate. In this paper I illustrate such deficiencies, ...
Multiple regression: chapter 9
(Wiley, John & Sons, 1989)
In Chapter 8 simple regression and correlation were introduced and discussed.
In simple regression the basic proposition is that an independent variable
can be used to predict the value of some dependent variable (the ...
Commentary on the Makridakis Time Series Competition (M-Competition)
(1983)
In 1982, the Journal of Forecasting published the results of a forecasting competition organized
by Spyros Makridakis (Makridakis et al., 1982). In this, the ex ante forecast errors of 21 methods were
compared for forecasts ...
Forecasting accuracy and the assumption of constancy
(Elsevier, 1981)
Statistical forecasting is based on the assumption of constancy, or structural ability in the data. This paper argues that such an assumption might not always be realistic in real life forecasting situations. Unfortunately, ...