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Forecasting when pattern changes occur beyond the historical data
(1986-03)
Forecasting methods currently available assume that established patterns or relationships will not change during the post-sample forecasting phase. This, however, is not a realistic assumption for business and economic ...
The art and science of forecasting : an assessment and future directions
(Elsevier, 1986)
After several decades of important theoretical developments, practical experience gained through applications, and the findings of many empirical studies the field of forecasting is entering into a stage of maturity. The ...
Beyond the oracle
(PA International Consulting Services Ltd., 1986)
The priests of Delfphi have not been alone in providing forecasts for a price. Since the dawn of civilization, a great many fortune tellers, soothsayers, wizards, augurs and astrologers have sought to fulfil the human need ...