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Now showing items 31-35 of 35
A New Approach to Statistical Forecasting
(Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 1987-06)
Available approaches to statistical forecasting suffer from several deficiencies (problems) that render their predictions for real-world economic/business series inappropriate. In this paper I illustrate such deficiencies, ...
Inflationary Expectations And Stock-Bond Yield Differentials
(Palgrave Macmillan Journals, 1980)
Global inflationary trends have for many decades eroded the purchasing power of money and have become embodied in the structure of security yields. This article explores the uses of various data formats to represent ...
Commentary on the Makridakis Time Series Competition (M-Competition)
(1983)
In 1982, the Journal of Forecasting published the results of a forecasting competition organized
by Spyros Makridakis (Makridakis et al., 1982). In this, the ex ante forecast errors of 21 methods were
compared for forecasts ...
Forecasting accuracy and the assumption of constancy
(Elsevier, 1981)
Statistical forecasting is based on the assumption of constancy, or structural ability in the data. This paper argues that such an assumption might not always be realistic in real life forecasting situations. Unfortunately, ...
The Debt Dilemma of Developing Nations: Issues and Cases
(Wiley, 1985)
In the Debt Dilemma of Developing Nations, Chris Carvounis provides an insightful overview of the external debt problems currentrly plaguing a number of developing countries. The book is neiher comprehensive in tits handling ...