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Sampling Distributions of Post-Sample Forecasting Errors
(Wiley, 1989)
Forecasting errors fall in two clearly different categories: (a) the residual errors from fitting a model to the available data and (b) the post-sample forecasting errors. The emphasis of statistical theory and forecasting ...
The art and science of forecasting : an assessment and future directions
(Elsevier, 1986)
After several decades of important theoretical developments, practical experience gained through applications, and the findings of many empirical studies the field of forecasting is entering into a stage of maturity. The ...
The future of forecasting
(Elsevier, 1988)
This paper discusses our aims in organizing this special issue. We believe that a synthesis
of the field is needed to resolve the many conflicts between theory and empirical evidence
and between advocates of the various ...
Sampling distributions of post-sample forecasting errors
(Wiley, 1989)
Forecasting errors fall in two clearly different categories: (a) the residual errors from fitting a model to the available data and (b) the post-sample forecasting errors. The emphasis of statistical theory and forecasting ...
Simple regression methods: chapter 8
(Wiley, John & Sons, 1989)
In the preceding three chapters, several major classes of time-series forecasting
methods were examined---exponential smoothing, decomposition,
autoregressive/moving average, and filters. Various models within each ...
If we cannot forecast how can we plan?
(Elsevier, 1981)
The purpose of this article is to deal directly and explicitly with the issues and problems currently facing forecasting, planning and strategy and to discuss how the challenges of the 1980s can be realistically and ...
Confidence intervals: An empirical investigation of the series in the M-competition
(Elsevier Ltd, 1987)
This paper empirically evaluates the uncertainty of forecasts. It does so using the 1001 series of the M-Competition. The study indicates that although, in model fitting the percentage of observations outside the confidence ...
The Combination of Forecasts
(Wiley, 1983)
Aggregating information by combining forecasts from two or more forecasting methods is an alternative to using just a single method. In this paper we provide extensive empirical results showing that combined forecasts ...
Basic statistics : a user oriented approach (manuscript)
(1981)
Table 2.1 shows the ages of the 230 students who entered INSEAD during the 1980/81 academic year. What can you make out of these numbers? Obνiously, the answer will depend upon who you are. Unless you haνe some objectiνe ...
Ιωάννης Κασταμονίτης συμβολή στη μελέτη του βίου, του έργου και της εποχής του
(1988)
Jean Kastamonitès était un personnage quasi inconnu, car les quelques auteurs qui en ont parlé ne sont pas allés généralement plus loin que des descriptions de manuscrits et des titres d'oeuvres. La présente thèse va au ...