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Now showing items 21-30 of 221
Accuracy measures: theoretical and practical concerns
(Elsevier, 1993)
The Notes section of the international Journal of Forecasting contains commentary on the theory and
practice of forecasting in the form of communications to the journal such as research notes, teaching
tips, practitioners’ ...
A Probabilistic Approach to Worst Case Scenarios
(1997)
Value at Risk (VaR) is increasingly popular as a management and regulatory tool. To further its acceptance it is necessary to assess its reliability under conditions likely to be encountered in financial markets. A logical ...
Factors affecting judgmental forecasts and confidence intervals
(Elsevier, 1989)
Eighteen time series differing in their trend (three categories), randomness (three categories), and presentation on a graph (two categories) were given to 350 MBA students in a laboratory experiment. Each student was asked ...
Appearance Schemas Inventory Revised: Psychometric Properties of the Greek Version in a Female Sample
(North American Journal of Psychology, 2013)
The current study examined the psychometric properties of a Greek version of the Appearance Schemas Inventory – Revised (ASI-R). A total of 269 university female students (mean age = 25.1 years, SD = 3.81; mean height = ...
Judgment: Its Role and Value for Strategy
(INSEAD, 1998)
Chess is an intellectually demanding game played by millions of people around the world. Yet unlike tennis or other competitive sports there are few changes in the rankings of chess players. There have only been twelve ...
To what extend is the turing test still important?
(2012)
The Turing Test, originally proposed as a simple operational definition of intelligence, has now been around for more than half a century. This paper chronicles some comments on Turing's classic article from its publication ...
Reply to comments on "Forecasting: its role and value for planning and strategy"
(Elsevier, 1996)
Long-term predictions are indispensable for planning and strategy. Yet little is known about their value, their limitations or the most appropriate way of making and using them. This paper examines these issues and proposes ...
Can recessions be predicted?
(Elsevier Ltd, 1977-04)
Can recessions, or serious turning points in general, be predicted? Or do forecasters tend to assume that the future will continue as an extension of the near past. Theoretical evidence and practical observations tend to ...
Forecasting when pattern changes occur beyond the historical data
(1986-03)
Forecasting methods currently available assume that established patterns or relationships will not change during the post-sample forecasting phase. This, however, is not a realistic assumption for business and economic ...
Chronology of the Last Six Recessions
(Pergamon press ltd, 1982)
How successful have economists and other business forecasters been in predicting recessions? This
question is of considerable practical value since the level of economic activity greatly influences
budgets and other plans ...