Browsing Articles by Subject "Time series forecasting"

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  • Forecasting accuracy and system complexity 

    Makridakis, Spyros (Fontainebleau, France, 1995)
    Accurate forecasts are essential for a great number of applications yet large errors and considerable uncertainty characterize most of our attempts for predicting the future. This article surveys empirical studies on ...

  • The M2-competition: A real-time judgmentally based forecasting study 

    Makridakis, Spyros; Chatfield, Chris; Hibon, Michele; Lawrence, Michael; Mills, Terence; Ord, Keith; Simmons, LeRoy F. (Elsevier, 1993)
    The purpose of the M2-Competition is to determine the post sample accuracy of various forecasting methods. It is an empirical study organized in such a way as to avoid the major criticism of the M-Competition that forecasters ...

  • Why combining works? 

    Makridakis, Spyros (Elsevier, 1989)
    The purpose of this paper is to explore the reasons why combining works, discuss the implications involved and propose guidelines for improving the field of forecasting by exploiting the reasons that contribute to the ...