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Now showing items 11-20 of 20
"Forecasting: its role and value for planning and strategy"
(Elsevier, 1996)
First i would like to thank the commentators for their excellent and well thought comments on my paper. I believe that there is little disagrement between their views and mine. All commentators, with the possible exception ...
The value of empirical work: A personal view
(Elsevier, 1993)
When I compare the field of forecasting with other social science disciplines I see a major advantage. We have the ability to empirically test the validity of our theories and find out the methods/ models that provide ...
The Impact of Empirical Accuracy Studies On Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
(International Statistical Institute (ISI), 1995-12)
This paper examines a major area of statistics: the application of time series analysis to forecasting, particularly as it applies to the areas of business and economics. This area is unusual in the social sciences in that ...
The M2-competition: A real-time judgmentally based forecasting study
(Elsevier, 1993)
The purpose of the M2-Competition is to determine the post sample accuracy of various forecasting methods. It is an empirical study organized in such a way as to avoid the major criticism of the M-Competition that forecasters ...
Generalising about univariate forecasting methods: further empirical evidence
(Elsevier, 1998)
This paper extends the empirical evidence on the forecasting accuracy of extrapolative methods. The robustness of the
major conclusions of the M-Competition data is examined in the context of the telecommunications data ...
Metastrategy: Learning and avoiding past mistakes
(Elsevier, 1997)
Lately there has been a renewed interest in strategic planning after more than a decade of focusing on operational concerns such as total quality, downsizing, benchmarking and reengineering. Will strategic planning provide ...
Forecasting in the 21st century
(International Journal of Forecasting, 1991)
Those of us in the field of forecasting are facing a serious dilemma. On the one hand we know that
all forms of forecasting must be based on historical data, on the other hand we are well aware of a
plethora of empirical ...
Strategic business forecasting
(Elsevier, 1996)
First, it is practically oriented. It avoids
theoretical, and mathematical discussions. It
directly gets into how to use it, when to use
it, what it is used for, and what resources
are required of it. It includes many ...
Forecasting: its role and value for planning and strategy
(Elsevier, 1996-12)
Long-term predictions are indispensable for planning and strategy. Yet little is known about their value, their limitations or the most appropriate way of making and using them. This paper examines these issues and proposes ...
Factors Affecting Success in Business: Management Theories/ Tools Versus Predicting Changes
(Pergamon, 1996)
Management theories and tools, like the fashion industry have their moment of glory and die. Very few survive and, in some cases, their passing leaves extensive corporate damage in their wake. Spyros Makridakis reviews the ...