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Now showing items 71-80 of 400
The future of forecasting
(Elsevier, 1988)
This paper discusses our aims in organizing this special issue. We believe that a synthesis
of the field is needed to resolve the many conflicts between theory and empirical evidence
and between advocates of the various ...
‘Horses for Courses’ in demand forecasting
(Elsevier, 2014-02-22)
Forecasting as a scientific discipline has progressed a lot in the last 40 years, with Nobel prizes being
awarded for seminal work in the field, most notably to Engle, Granger and Kahneman. Despite these
advances, even ...
Decision making and planning under low levels of predictability
(Elsevier Ltd, 2009)
This special section aims to demonstrate the limited predictability and high level of uncertainty in practically all important
areas of our lives, and the implications of this. It summarizes the huge body of solid empirical ...
Accuracy of Forecasting
(Blackwell, 1979)
The ultimate test of any forecast is whether or not it is capable of predicting future events accurately. Planners and decision makers have a wide choice of ways to forecast, ranging from purely intuitive or judgemental ...
Sampling distributions of post-sample forecasting errors
(Wiley, 1989)
Forecasting errors fall in two clearly different categories: (a) the residual errors from fitting a model to the available data and (b) the post-sample forecasting errors. The emphasis of statistical theory and forecasting ...
On the synthesis of general systems
(Society for General Systems Research, 1971)
The concept of a system has been identified in a large number of disciplines; biology, management
science, economics, sociology, political science, theology, law, etc., have profited by the apparatus
associated with ...
Τοις εντευξομένοις ή Οι υποχρεώσεις των Εθνικών Δημόσιων Διοίκησεων έναντι του Δικαίου και των Οργάνων της Ε.Ε.
(Κέντρο Επιμόρφωσης Μελετών Έρευνας και Ανάπτυξης, 2015)
Economic theoristing and policy making
(Economic Research Center, Faculty of Economics, Nagoya University, 1992)
This paper relates economic theorising and policy making in a context of people's changing
behaviour, which makes economy to work in a different way. As economic theory is not adapting
to these changes, it produces false ...
If we cannot forecast how can we plan?
(Elsevier, 1981)
The purpose of this article is to deal directly and explicitly with the issues and problems currently facing forecasting, planning and strategy and to discuss how the challenges of the 1980s can be realistically and ...
Confidence intervals: An empirical investigation of the series in the M-competition
(Elsevier Ltd, 1987)
This paper empirically evaluates the uncertainty of forecasts. It does so using the 1001 series of the M-Competition. The study indicates that although, in model fitting the percentage of observations outside the confidence ...