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Regional development and non-material public infrastructure
(Blackwell Publishers Ltd, 1997)
The aim of this paper is to investigate the conditions under which public investment can be allocated to the infrastructure in material and non-material capital so as to have a positive effect on regional development and ...
What can we learn from corporate failure?
(Elsevier, 1991)
Failure is a natural process, observed in both biological and organizational systems. In this article different types of failure are illustrated and the most common factors that contribute to failure described. Delaying ...
Forecasting, Planning, and Strategies for the 21st Century
(Free Press, 1990)
Products ranging from Fifth Generation computers and sophisticated robotics to inexpensive, superfast wireless communications and smart cars will become widespread by the 21st century. At the same time, now unimagined new ...
The Forthcoming Information Revolution: Its Impact on Society and Firms
(Elsevier, 1995)
The impact of the industrial revolutions on all aspects of our society, work and life has, undoubtedly, been substantial. Will all the talk about the information revolution produce similar, far-reaching changes? By examining ...
VaR Without Correlations for Portfolios of Derivative Securities
(Wiley Online Library, 1999)
We propose filtering historical simulation by GARCH processes to model the future distribution of assets and swap values. Options’ price changes are computed by full reevaluation on the changing prices of underlying assets. ...
Forecasting: Methods and Applications
(John Wiley & Sons, Inc., 1998)
Known from its last editions as the "Bible of Forecasting", the third edition of this authoritative text has adopted a new approach-one that is as new as the latest trends in the field: "Explaining the past is not adequate ...
Accuracy measures: theoretical and practical concerns
(Elsevier, 1993)
The Notes section of the international Journal of Forecasting contains commentary on the theory and
practice of forecasting in the form of communications to the journal such as research notes, teaching
tips, practitioners’ ...
A Probabilistic Approach to Worst Case Scenarios
(1997)
Value at Risk (VaR) is increasingly popular as a management and regulatory tool. To further its acceptance it is necessary to assess its reliability under conditions likely to be encountered in financial markets. A logical ...
Judgment: Its Role and Value for Strategy
(INSEAD, 1998)
Chess is an intellectually demanding game played by millions of people around the world. Yet unlike tennis or other competitive sports there are few changes in the rankings of chess players. There have only been twelve ...
Reply to comments on "Forecasting: its role and value for planning and strategy"
(Elsevier, 1996)
Long-term predictions are indispensable for planning and strategy. Yet little is known about their value, their limitations or the most appropriate way of making and using them. This paper examines these issues and proposes ...