Now showing items 21-30 of 165
Judgment: Its Role and Value for Strategy
Chess is an intellectually demanding game played by millions of people around the world. Yet unlike tennis or other competitive sports there are few changes in the rankings of chess players. There have only been twelve ...
To what extend is the turing test still important?
The Turing Test, originally proposed as a simple operational definition of intelligence, has now been around for more than half a century. This paper chronicles some comments on Turing's classic article from its publication ...
Reply to comments on "Forecasting: its role and value for planning and strategy"
Long-term predictions are indispensable for planning and strategy. Yet little is known about their value, their limitations or the most appropriate way of making and using them. This paper examines these issues and proposes ...
Can recessions be predicted?
(Elsevier Ltd, 1977-04)
Can recessions, or serious turning points in general, be predicted? Or do forecasters tend to assume that the future will continue as an extension of the near past. Theoretical evidence and practical observations tend to ...
Forecasting when pattern changes occur beyond the historical data
Forecasting methods currently available assume that established patterns or relationships will not change during the post-sample forecasting phase. This, however, is not a realistic assumption for business and economic ...
Chronology of the Last Six Recessions
(Pergamon press ltd, 1982)
How successful have economists and other business forecasters been in predicting recessions? This question is of considerable practical value since the level of economic activity greatly influences budgets and other plans ...
National Culture Underpins Individual Behaviour and Work-Related-Values: The importance of nationality
This analysis is devoted to the national culture and its linkage with individual behaviour and work-related values. The authors will investigate into what extent the national culture underpins individual behaviour.
Spyros Makridakis: An interview with theInternational Journal of Forecasting
Following the attainment of a place in the GreekSailing Team in the Olympics of 1960, SpyrosMakridakis set sail for New York University wherehe obtained a PhD in 1969. His first academicappointment was at INSEAD where he ...
Consider the principal finding: A reply to William T. Ross
(INFORMS, Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences, 1988-05)
By focusang on issues concerning precise reUuive perfonnance of the human and experimental teams, Ross crtsscutes the nugor, and a priori »ir[»ising result of our study. This is that the experimental teams were not all ...
Automation or autonomy in organizational design.
(Gordon and Breach Science Publishers, 1979-04-23)
Today there is growing criticism of the Input/Output (I/O) model as a conceptual tool for explaining and understanding how systems are functioning. These models have been particularly useful-mainly in engineering, where ...