Browsing by Author "Lawrence, Michael"

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  • Factors affecting judgmental forecasts and confidence intervals 

    Lawrence, Michael; Makridakis, Spyros (Elsevier, 1989)
    Eighteen time series differing in their trend (three categories), randomness (three categories), and presentation on a graph (two categories) were given to 350 MBA students in a laboratory experiment. Each student was asked ...

  • The M2-competition: A real-time judgmentally based forecasting study 

    Makridakis, Spyros; Chatfield, Chris; Hibon, Michele; Lawrence, Michael; Mills, Terence; Ord, Keith; Simmons, LeRoy F. (Elsevier, 1993)
    The purpose of the M2-Competition is to determine the post sample accuracy of various forecasting methods. It is an empirical study organized in such a way as to avoid the major criticism of the M-Competition that forecasters ...