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How Accurate and Reliable (Certain) Are Medical Predictions?
(2015)
Unpredictability and uncertainty reigns over most of medicine. Should women be screened for mammography and men for prostate cancer? The answer is not obvious as a growing number of researchers and doctors assert that the ...
The Costs and Benefits of Positive Illusions
(2015-11)
Positive illusions are associated with unrealistic optimism about the future and an inflated assessment of one's abilities. They are prevalent in normal life and are considered essential for maintaining a healthy mental ...
The advanced forecasting information system PYTHIA: An application in real estate time series
(Emerald, 2015)
Purpose – The main scope of the paper is to demonstrate the capabilities of PYTHIA forecasting platform, to compare time series forecasting techniques, which were used to forecast mortgage loans in UK, and to show how ...