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The Forthcoming Artificial Intelligence (AI) Revolution: Its Impact on Society and Firms
(2017-01)
The impact of the industrial and digital (information) revolutions has, undoubtedly, been substantial on practically all aspects of our society, life, firms and employment. Will the forthcoming AI revolution produce similar, ...
Stability properties of general systems
(Society for General Systems Research, 1973)
The system approach views any organized entity as a unity composed of interdependent parts
capable of sensitive and accurate interaction among themselves and with their environment. It is the mutual interaction among ...
A New Approach to Statistical Forecasting
(Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 1987-06)
Available approaches to statistical forecasting suffer from several deficiencies (problems) that render their predictions for real-world economic/business series inappropriate. In this paper I illustrate such deficiencies, ...
Forecasting and uncertainty: A survey
(IOS Press, 2016)
The origins of forecasting can be traced back to the beginning of human civilization with attempts to predict the
weather, although forecasting as a field first appeared in the 1940s and attracted more followers from the ...
Ο δυϊσμός των ελληνικών επιχειρήσεων : Προβλήματα και Εναλλακτικές Στρατηγικές μιας Ενδιάμεσης Οικονομίας
(Εταιρία Ανώτατων Στελεχών Επιχειρήσεων (ΕΑΣΕ), 1998)
Η χώρα μας βρίσκεται σήμερα σ’ένα πολύ κρίσιμο σημείο, καθώς η ελληνική οικονομία συμπιέζεται ανάμεσα στις οικονομίες των αναπτυγμένων και των αναπτυσσόμενων χωρώ. Αυτές οι έντονες εξωτερικές πιέσεις βρίσκουν τη χώρα ...
The value of empirical work: A personal view
(Elsevier, 1993)
When I compare the field of forecasting with other social science disciplines I see a major advantage. We have the ability to empirically test the validity of our theories and find out the methods/ models that provide ...
On the synthesis of general systems
(Society for General Systems Research, 1971)
In Part I, we extended the work of Ashby [1,2] to develop an analytical framework for determining
the relation betweén system size and system stability. It was established that, for linear
dynamic systems, as the number ...
The Impact of Empirical Accuracy Studies On Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
(International Statistical Institute (ISI), 1995-12)
This paper examines a major area of statistics: the application of time series analysis to forecasting, particularly as it applies to the areas of business and economics. This area is unusual in the social sciences in that ...
The M2-competition: A real-time judgmentally based forecasting study
(Elsevier, 1993)
The purpose of the M2-Competition is to determine the post sample accuracy of various forecasting methods. It is an empirical study organized in such a way as to avoid the major criticism of the M-Competition that forecasters ...
Forecasting Methods for Managers
(Palgrave Macmillan Journals, 1974)
The forecasting techniques available have increased both in number and com-plexity, so now is the time for a book to help both OR workers and managers to choose the most appropriate technique. Spyros Makridakis and Steven ...