Search
Now showing items 11-20 of 28
Forecasting and planning: an evaluation
(Management Science, 1981-02)
The formal practice of forecasting and planning (F&P) has risen to prominence within a few decades and now receives considerable attention from both academics and practitioners. This paper explicitly recognizes the nature ...
Consider the principal finding: A reply to William T. Ross
(INFORMS, Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences, 1988-05)
By focusang on issues concerning precise reUuive perfonnance of the human and experimental
teams, Ross crtsscutes the nugor, and a priori »ir[»ising result of our study. This is that the
experimental teams were not all ...
The accuracy of extrapolation (time series) methods: Results of a forecasting competition
(John Wiley & Sons Ltd., 1982)
In the last few decades many methods have become available for forecasting. As always, when alternatives exist, choices need to be made so that an appropriate forecasting method can be selected and used for the specific ...
Sampling Distributions of Post-Sample Forecasting Errors
(Wiley, 1989)
Forecasting errors fall in two clearly different categories: (a) the residual errors from fitting a model to the available data and (b) the post-sample forecasting errors. The emphasis of statistical theory and forecasting ...
The art and science of forecasting : an assessment and future directions
(Elsevier, 1986)
After several decades of important theoretical developments, practical experience gained through applications, and the findings of many empirical studies the field of forecasting is entering into a stage of maturity. The ...
The future of forecasting
(Elsevier, 1988)
This paper discusses our aims in organizing this special issue. We believe that a synthesis
of the field is needed to resolve the many conflicts between theory and empirical evidence
and between advocates of the various ...
Sampling distributions of post-sample forecasting errors
(Wiley, 1989)
Forecasting errors fall in two clearly different categories: (a) the residual errors from fitting a model to the available data and (b) the post-sample forecasting errors. The emphasis of statistical theory and forecasting ...
Simple regression methods: chapter 8
(Wiley, John & Sons, 1989)
In the preceding three chapters, several major classes of time-series forecasting
methods were examined---exponential smoothing, decomposition,
autoregressive/moving average, and filters. Various models within each ...
If we cannot forecast how can we plan?
(Elsevier, 1981)
The purpose of this article is to deal directly and explicitly with the issues and problems currently facing forecasting, planning and strategy and to discuss how the challenges of the 1980s can be realistically and ...
Confidence intervals: An empirical investigation of the series in the M-competition
(Elsevier Ltd, 1987)
This paper empirically evaluates the uncertainty of forecasts. It does so using the 1001 series of the M-Competition. The study indicates that although, in model fitting the percentage of observations outside the confidence ...