The regional dynamics of the Abraham Accords

Abstract

This thesis explores the regional dynamics of the Abraham Accords, focusing on the strategic, political, and economic factors that influenced the normalisation of relations between Israel and several Arab states. Through a qualitative analysis, the study examines how regional shifts—such as U.S. retrenchment, the Iran threat, and shifting power balances—shaped the decisions of the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Sudan, and Morocco to join the accords. The research considers structural factors, like regional security realignments, and domestic motivations, including economic pressures and regime survival. By analysing state-specific case studies and broader geopolitical trends, the thesis provides a deeper understanding of how the Abraham Accords reflect evolving alliances in the Middle East and North Africa. The findings highlight the complex interplay between external threats, internal priorities, and long-term strategic interests.