Search
Now showing items 61-70 of 615
Reply to comments on "Forecasting: its role and value for planning and strategy"
(Elsevier, 1996)
Long-term predictions are indispensable for planning and strategy. Yet little is known about their value, their limitations or the most appropriate way of making and using them. This paper examines these issues and proposes ...
Can recessions be predicted?
(Elsevier Ltd, 1977-04)
Can recessions, or serious turning points in general, be predicted? Or do forecasters tend to assume that the future will continue as an extension of the near past. Theoretical evidence and practical observations tend to ...
Forecasting when pattern changes occur beyond the historical data
(1986-03)
Forecasting methods currently available assume that established patterns or relationships will not change during the post-sample forecasting phase. This, however, is not a realistic assumption for business and economic ...
Forecasting and loss fuctions
(International Journal of Forecasting, 1988)
This paper considers two problems of interpreting forecasting competition error statistics. The first problem is concerned with the importance of linking the error measure (loss function) used in evaluating a forecasting ...
Management in the 21st Century
(Elsevier, 1989)
This paper predicts the type of business firms and managers
most likely to emerge in the 21st century. The forecasts are
based on rational principles which avoid the common mistakes
made in the past by long-term ...
Chronology of the Last Six Recessions
(Pergamon press ltd, 1982)
How successful have economists and other business forecasters been in predicting recessions? This
question is of considerable practical value since the level of economic activity greatly influences
budgets and other plans ...
Averages of Forecasts: Some Empirical Results
(Informs, 1983-09)
An altemative to using a single forecasting method is to average the forecasts obtained from
several methods. In this paper we investigate empirically the impact of the number and choice
of forecasting methods on the ...
National Culture Underpins Individual Behaviour and Work-Related-Values: The importance of nationality
(2014)
This analysis is devoted to the national culture and its linkage with individual behaviour and work-related values. The authors will investigate into what extent the national culture underpins individual behaviour.
Spyros Makridakis: An interview with theInternational Journal of Forecasting
(Elsevier, 2006)
Following the attainment of a place in the GreekSailing Team in the Olympics of 1960, SpyrosMakridakis set sail for New York University wherehe obtained a PhD in 1969. His first academicappointment was at INSEAD where he ...
Forecasting and planning: an evaluation
(Management Science, 1981-02)
The formal practice of forecasting and planning (F&P) has risen to prominence within a few decades and now receives considerable attention from both academics and practitioners. This paper explicitly recognizes the nature ...