Living in a world of low levels of predictability

Simple item page
dc.contributor.authorMakridakis, Spyros
dc.contributor.authorTaleb, Nassim
dc.date.accessioned2015-12-08T08:08:37Z
dc.date.available2015-12-08T08:08:37Z
dc.date.issued2009
dc.description.abstractThis conclusion aims to summarize the major issues surrounding forecasting, as well as the extensive empirical evidence proving our inability to accurately predict the future. In addition, it discusses our resistance to accepting such inaccurate predictions, while putting forwards a number of ideas aimed at a complex world where accurate forecasting is impossible and where uncertainty reigns.en_UK
dc.doi10.1016/j.ijforecast.2009.05.008
dc.identifier.issn0169-2070
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11728/6364
dc.language.isoenen_UK
dc.publisherElsevieren_UK
dc.relation.ispartofseriesInternational Journal of Forecasting;25
dc.rights2009 International Institute of Forecasters. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.en_UK
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/en_UK
dc.subjectForecastingen_UK
dc.subjectAccuracyen_UK
dc.subjectBlack Swansen_UK
dc.subjectLow level predictabilityen_UK
dc.subjectIllusion of controlen_UK
dc.subjectParadox of controlen_UK
dc.titleLiving in a world of low levels of predictabilityen_UK
dc.typeArticleen_UK

Files

Original bundle

Now showing 1 - 1 of 1
Thumbnail Image
Name:
LIVING IN A WORLD OF LOW LEVELS OF PREDICTABILITY.pdf
Size:
220.11 KB
Format:
Adobe Portable Document Format
Description:
Download Abstract
Download

License bundle

Now showing 1 - 1 of 1
Thumbnail Image
Name:
license.txt
Size:
1.92 KB
Format:
Item-specific license agreed upon to submission
Description:
Download

Collections

Articles