High blood pressure (HBP) or hypertension (HTN) is one of the leading causes of cardiovascular (CV) morbidity and mortality throughout the world. Despite this fact, there is widespread agreement that the treatment of HBP, ...

Forecasting as a scientific discipline has progressed a lot in the last 40 years, with Nobel prizes being awarded for seminal work in the field, most notably to Engle, Granger and Kahneman. Despite these advances, even ...

The Turing Test, originally proposed as a simple operational definition of intelligence, has now been around for more than half a century. This paper chronicles some comments on Turing's classic article from its publication ...

The purpose of the research described in this paper is to first identify successful Greek SMEs that can be qualified as ‘hidden champions’ and second to uncover the factors that have contributed to their success. These ...

The purpose of this paper is to apply the Box–Jenkins methodology to ARIMA models and determine the reasons why in empirical tests it is found that the post-sample forecasting the accuracy of such models is generally worse ...

This paper extends the empirical evidence on the forecasting accuracy of extrapolative methods. The robustness of the major conclusions of the M-Competition data is examined in the context of the telecommunications data ...

Following the attainment of a place in the GreekSailing Team in the Olympics of 1960, SpyrosMakridakis set sail for New York University wherehe obtained a PhD in 1969. His first academicappointment was at INSEAD where he ...

This analysis is devoted to the national culture and its linkage with individual behaviour and work-related values. The authors will investigate into what extent the national culture underpins individual behaviour.

Forecasting methods currently available assume that established patterns or relationships will not change during the post-sample forecasting phase. This, however, is not a realistic assumption for business and economic ...

This paper investigates into what extent, and in what ways, Knowledge Management (KM) and Learning Organisation (LO) constitute new means for the managerial appropriation of the knowledge and skills of workers.

Time sharing computer configurations have introduced a new dimension in applying statistical and mathematical models to sequential decision problems. When the outcome of one step in the process influences subsequent ...

Long-term predictions are indispensable for planning and strategy. Yet little is known about their value, their limitations or the most appropriate way of making and using them. This paper examines these issues and proposes ...

The method of principal component is used in this paper to analyse the interrelationship among the world's major stock exchanges. The major finding is that the interrelationship is unstable over time. This finding proves ...

Forecasts are crucial for practically all economic and business decisions. However, there is a mounting body of empirical evidence showing that accurate forecasting in the economic and business world is usually not possible. ...

In this study the uses and gratifications obtained from Mainstream News sites and Social Media when the users read online news is explored. A comparative work is done between the two in order to examine the differences on ...

The formal practice of forecasting and planning (F&P) has risen to prominence within a few decades and now receives considerable attention from both academics and practitioners. This paper explicitly recognizes the nature ...

The Notes section of the international Journal of Forecasting contains commentary on the theory and practice of forecasting in the form of communications to the journal such as research notes, teaching tips, practitioners’ ...

This paper surveys time-series methods developed and used in the fields of statistics, engineering, operation research and economics. It will describe each of the major methods now in existence and synthesize them into an ...

This paper considers two problems of interpreting forecasting competition error statistics. The first problem is concerned with the importance of linking the error measure (loss function) used in evaluating a forecasting ...

How successful have economists and other business forecasters been in predicting recessions? This question is of considerable practical value since the level of economic activity greatly influences budgets and other plans ...