Failure is a natural process, observed in both biological and organizational systems. In this article different types of failure are illustrated and the most common factors that contribute to failure described. Delaying ...

Those of us in the field of forecasting are facing a serious dilemma. On the one hand we know that all forms of forecasting must be based on historical data, on the other hand we are well aware of a plethora of empirical ...

This paper describes an empirical investigation aimed at measuring the effect of different initial values and loss functions (both symmetric and asymmetric) on the post-sample forecasting accuracy. The 1001 series of the ...

This paper relates economic theorising and policy making in a context of people's changing behaviour, which makes economy to work in a different way. As economic theory is not adapting to these changes, it produces false ...

The Notes section of the international Journal of Forecasting contains commentary on the theory and practice of forecasting in the form of communications to the journal such as research notes, teaching tips, practitioners’ ...

The purpose of the M2-Competition is to determine the post sample accuracy of various forecasting methods. It is an empirical study organized in such a way as to avoid the major criticism of the M-Competition that forecasters ...

When I compare the field of forecasting with other social science disciplines I see a major advantage. We have the ability to empirically test the validity of our theories and find out the methods/ models that provide ...

Accurate forecasts are essential for a great number of applications yet large errors and considerable uncertainty characterize most of our attempts for predicting the future. This article surveys empirical studies on ...

In this study an alternative approach for assessing securities' risk is applied. Various authors have argued that security returns are not homoskedastic but exhibit variation over time. They have observed that large changes ...

Τα θέματα της Αποκέντρωσης, της Τοπικής Αυτοδιοίκησης εν γένει και της Περιφερειακής Ανάπτυξης, ενέχουν αφ' εαυτών ιδιαίτερη σημασία. Η σημασία τους όμως αυτή προσλαμβάνει διαστάσεις μεγαλύτερες κατά περιόδους, λόγω ...

Je vous prie de croire en ma profonde emotion pour avoir l' honneur de m'adresser aujourd'hui à vous, un auditoire aux buts et fins precis, par consequent dangereux. Votre présence ici reflète évidemment les vieux, agréables, ...

The impact of the industrial revolutions on all aspects of our society, work and life has, undoubtedly, been substantial. Will all the talk about the information revolution produce similar, far-reaching changes? By examining ...

Οι πρόσφατες «κατεπείγουσες» ρυθμίσεις της Κυβέρνησης και οι «εν θερμώ» εξαγγελίες εν συνεχεία της Αντιπολίτευσης για θέματα της Δημόσιας Διοίκησης, καταδεικνύουν περιτράνως το πρόβλημα «δυσλειτουργίας» της, το οποίο ...

Ι would like to assure you that Ι feel deeply touched because Ι am honored tο address all of you today a distinguished as well as dangerous audience, bearing specific aims and targets. Your presence here certainly recalls ...

This paper examines a major area of statistics: the application of time series analysis to forecasting, particularly as it applies to the areas of business and economics. This area is unusual in the social sciences in that ...

Long-term predictions are indispensable for planning and strategy. Yet little is known about their value, their limitations or the most appropriate way of making and using them. This paper examines these issues and proposes ...

First, it is practically oriented. It avoids theoretical, and mathematical discussions. It directly gets into how to use it, when to use it, what it is used for, and what resources are required of it. It includes many ...

Emerging risk-management techniques use Value at Risk (VAR) to assess the market risk of a portfolio. We propose a relative simple method to estimate VAR conditionally to reflect new information about the volatility of ...

Η σημασία, την οποία ενέχουν αφ' εαυτών, η Ευρωπαϊκή Ένωση, το περί αυτήν Δίκαιο, ο ρόλος τον οποίο διαδραματίζει παγκοσμίως, οι κίνδυνοι, που «εμπερικλείει» erga omnes και οι οίες δήποτε προοπτικές της, πρέπει προφανώς ...

Le contraste est désormais considérable enrre la situation grecque caractérisée globalement par l'abandon d'un rrend durable de croissance, une instabilité politique chronique et de fortes tensions sociales, et celle de ...